SPC AC 221233
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0633 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009
   
   VALID 221300Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   UPPER LOW/TROUGH GULF STATES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND LIFT
   ENEWD INTO THE CAROLINAS BY TONIGHT.  EVEN SO...GIVEN SUFFICIENT
   INSTABILITY THERE IS ADEQUATE UPPER SUPPORT/SHEAR FOR A LOW END
   THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS.  THE PRIMARY QUESTION IS THE AMOUNT OF
   DESTABILIZATION THAT CAN OCCUR AS A DIFFUSE E/W WARM FRONT DEVELOPS
   NWD ACROSS NRN FL TO ENEWD OFF THE SERN COAST.  ATTM GIVEN THE
   CLOUDINESS SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF FL PENINSULA IT WILL BE
   DIFFICULT FOR THE WARM SECTOR TO HEAT SUFFICIENTLY TO DEVELOP MUCH
   MORE MLCAPE THAN ABOUT 500 J/KG.  
   
   NEVERTHELESS WILL MAINTAIN A LOW PROB OF SEVERE VICINITY THE FRONTAL
   ZONE WHERE SOME ENHANCED SHEAR WILL FAVOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND A
   SMALL CHANCE OF A BRIEF TORNADO AND/OR GUSTY WINDS.  ANY THREAT
   SHOULD END BY 00Z WHEN SHEAR WEAKENS AND ANY HEATING CEASES.
   
   ..HALES/JEWELL.. 11/22/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z